GUESTS:
MARCUS THOMPSON 430
BRENT MUSGERGER 510
PICKS 530
DENNIS RANAHAN 6 PM
PICKS -
TOPIC:
BEST STARTING 5'S:
80 LAKERS: KAREEM, MAGIC, NIXON, WILKES, JIM CHONES.
84 CELTICS BIRD, MCHALE, PARISH, AINGE, DL, 4 - HOF.
85 LAKERS - MAGIC, SCOTT, KAREEM, WORTHY, WILKES.
89 PISTONS, I THOMAS, DUMARS, RODMAN, LAIMBEER, MAHORN.
98 BULLS JORDAN, PIPPEN, RODMAN
95 ROCKETS -- OLAJUWON, DREXLER, HORRY, KENNY SMITH
99 SPURS --DUNCAN, ROBINSON, ELLIOTT, --KERR
EARLY 2000 LAKERS SHAQ, KOBE,
2000'S SPURS DUNCAN, PARKER, GINOBI
LEBRON HEAT -LEBRON, WADE, BOSH
BOOGIE
The Action Network (@ActionNetworkHQ) | |
Eastern Conference All-Stars Starting 5
-Kyrie, Kemba, Kawhi, Giannis, Embiid vs. Golden State Warriors Starting 5 -Curry, Klay, KD, Draymond, Boogie *no bench involved On a neutral court, what's the spread? |
ACTION: WARRIORS 88% OF BEST AT -7, 241.5--
Betting Trends to Know
With DeMarcus Cousins expected to return tonight, the Warriors have moved from 5.5- to 7-point favorites. Nearly 90% of spread tickets and dollars are on Golden State at the time of writing (see live betting data here).
Since 2015, when we began tracking spread dollar percentages, if a team is receiving 30% or less of tickets and dollars and sees the line move one or more points against them (Clippers +5.5 to +7), they have gone 94-56-3 (63%) ATS.
Plus, there’s this: Under Steve Kerr, when the Warriors receive 70% or more of spread tickets, they have gone 77-91-4 (45.8%) ATS in the regular season. — John Ewing
History tells us tonight is going to be a close one. The Warriors have won six straight games; the Clippers have lost four straight games.
Under Kerr, when Golden State has played a game in this spot (GSW on a six-game win streak, opponent on four-plus losing streak) 10 times, and the Warriors are 10-0 straight-up but just 4-6 ATS, with almost every single game coming within a few points of the spread. — Evan Abrams
he last nine games between the Clippers and Warriors have gone over the total by 16.4 points per game, although none of those nine games had a total higher than 234.5. — Evan Abrams
Here’s a fun fact: Tonight’s total of 241.5 will be the ninth over/under of 240 or higher just this season; there were eight over/unders of 240 points or higher in the 20 years prior to this season. — Abrams
what to expect:
-SHORT SPURTS 4/5 MIN EACH
-MICRO ANALYST OF EVERYTHING.
9ERS:NO ON BROWN - IT'S NOT FANTASY FOOTBALL
- 49ERS DON'T NEED ANOTHER TERRELL OWENS (AGENT DREW ROSENHAUS) --STEVE'S COMMENTS ON LOCKER ROOM ITS NOT STROING ENOUGH --STLAEY AND SHERMAN--THAT'S IT
The MMQB (@theMMQB) | |
Antonio Brown is heating up Twitter and hinting toward a big interview. In the Morning Huddle Newsletter, @ConorOrr on the Brown-Steelers feud as it heads toward its inevitable conclusion
go.si.com/U6TrwVT |
FA DEFENDERS: ---BEFORE WE GET TO DRAFT
-CLOWNEY, DEMARCUS LAWRENCE, FRANK CLARK DEE FORD UNLIKELY TO MAKE TO MARKET---
WHO IS :
TREY FLOWERS NE 26 IN AUG, ZIGGY ANSAH LIONS 28, ONLY 4 SACKS IN 7 GAMES, BUT HAS HAD SACK YRS OF 14.5 AND 12. BRANDON GRAHAM 31 IN APRIL. ONLY 4 SACKS, 9.5 PREVIOUS YEAR, NEVER DOUBLE DIGIT SACKS. TERELL SUGGS IS 36 HAD 7 SACKS, YR BEFORE HAD 11, --IDF BRING HIM IN TO PLAY AND COACH
LB: CJ MOSLEY 27 IN JUNE, ANTHONY BARR 27 IN JUNE, KJ WRIGHT SEATTLE 30 IN JULY , ZA DARIUS SMITH 27, 8.5 SACKS, -MISSEDD 1 GM LAST 7 SEASONS
CB: RONALD DARBEY EAGLES, JUST TURNED 25
TO DO:
1. FLOWERS , SUGGS AND DRAFT A PASS RUSHER.
2. CJ MOSLEY NEXT TO WARNER
3. GET BROWN
4. DRAFT BOSA OR JOSH ALLEN
5. FIND A CHEAP CB VET TO COMPETE W WITHERSPPON AND MOORE
TOO MUCH TO GET BROWN, FLOWERS, SUGGS, MOSLEY?
NFL:
GASE EXPLAINED:
avid J. Chao, MD (@ProFootballDoc)
"Doctor, my eyes..."
#AdamGase press conference appearance explained.
sandiegouniontribune.com/sports/profoot… pic.twitter.com/4xMThBvod9
#AdamGase press conference appearance explained.
sandiegouniontribune.com/sports/profoot… pic.twitter.com/4xMThBvod9
HOW WOULD YOU RANK POSSIBLE SB MATCH UPS BASED ON WATCH ABILITY:
regarding the prospect of topping Super Bowl XLIX:
- Patriots-Saints: The NFL historically markets its product through quarterbacks and this would be a meeting of two future Hall of Famers (Tom Brady and Drew Brees), two of most popular players in the sport, and two teams that have been significant television draws over the years. Brady and Brees have met just five times since 2002, so there is also a scarcity factor which is good. Like most dynasties, the Patriots are polarizing; again, great for TV. I think there is a less than 50 percent chance this matchup can surpass the 114.4 million mark but Pats-Saints is the best chance to set a new record.
- Patriots-Rams: This game would feature the No. 2 media market in the country (Los Angeles is historically not a great sports viewership market for its size but this would be the first L.A.-based team to appear in a Super Bowl since 1984) against one of the league’s biggest television draws and a Top 10 market as well (Boston is No. 9, according to Nielsen). It would pit the best quarterback of all time (Brady) against one of the league’s young stars (Jared Goff). The coaches also present excellent storylines heading in.
- Chiefs-Rams: A rematch of the most electric game of the regular season — a 54-51 Rams win on Nov. 19 in Los Angeles. That game featured 14 touchdowns and a go-ahead score with 1:49 to play. It would highlight two terrific young quarterbacks including the likely MVP in Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Plus, it would be Kansas City’s first Super Bowl appearance in 49 years. The first game was incredible to watch.
- Chiefs-Saints: Great optics and storylines: A touchdown-throwing young gun (Mahomes) against a touchdown-throwing old gun (Brees). The promise of a ton of points. Downsides: Kansas City is the No. 32 TV market in the country and New Orleans is No. 50. Upsides: Both markets over-index their market size given the fervor of each city’s NFL fandom.
-HOW IS ATLANTA'S MAYORS REMARKS ON SAINTS OFFENSIVE? SNOWFLAKE SOCIETY
Atlanta mayor: ‘Anybody other than the Saints’
Here was Bottoms’ initial comment, made to Terrell Thomas of These Urban Times. And extra credit for the callback to the Saints’ “bountygate” scandal.
“Just anybody other than the Saints. I know there’s going to be a bounty on my head for saying that,” Bottoms said. “But, if it can’t be the Falcons, then hey, as long as it’s not the Saints then I am happy.”
And, proving that New Orleans understands where she was coming from, New Orleans City Councilman Jay Banks shot back and referenced the Falcons blowing a 28-3 lead to the Patriots in Super Bowl LI.
“I’m sorry she feels that way. We would welcome them here,” Banks told the New Orleans Advocate. “At the end of the day they shouldn’t be mad at us that they suck.
“It’s not our fault that they choked.”
If you can’t appreciate the back-and-forth, you likely aren’t a sports fan. But Bottoms, being a politician, had to clarify her comments.
Atlanta mayor welcomes all fans, even Saints fans
Bottoms joked at the start of a press conference that she needed “extra security because of these New Orleans fans that I seemed to have offended.”
“So before we get to the real stuff, let me explain: it was a joke,” she said, according to WWL. “But I don’t know of a Falcons fan who wants to see New Orleans and the Patriots in the Super Bowl.”
Bottoms then said she was thankful for everyone who would come to Atlanta for the Super Bowl. Even Saints fans.
The possibility of the Saints invading Atlanta for a Super Bowl, and even using the Falcons facilities for the week as NFC champs, is a fun twist to the old rivalry. Bottoms has nothing to explain; we all know who Atlanta will be rooting for in the Super Bowl if the Saints win on Sunday.
MLB:
EVAN LONGORIA VIA TWITTER: (GIANTS / GRAY ) NOTHING
We are less then a month from the start of spring and once again some of our games biggest starts remain unsigned. Such a shame. It’s seems every day now someone is making up a new analytical tool to devalue players, especially free agents. As fans, why should “value” for your team even be a consideration? It’s not your money, it’s money that players have worked their whole lives to get to that level and be deserving of. Bottom line, fans should want the best players and product on the field for their team. And as players we need to stand strong for what we believe we are worth and continue to fight for the rights we have fought for time and time again.
-ROSENTHAL ON ISSUES FACING BASEBALL
Rosenthal: For the good of the sport, Tony Clark needs to lead the players to a compromise solution on improving the game
SPENDING:
The players, mind you, are not wrong in their ongoing frustration about certain teams not competing to the fullest. Teams say they are smarter. Players believe the clubs are squeezing too hard. As of Wednesday, all but three clubs were under the $206 million luxury-tax threshold, according to unofficial figures. Nineteen were at least $50 million under, 17 were at least $75 million under and nine were at least under $100 million under.
The solution, for now, is for the union to work around the edges of the CBA, propose non-economic measures that might spur competition – perhaps adjustments to the draft based upon team performance, perhaps a deadline of sorts on free agency, perhaps other things. The union, pending approval from the players, intends to introduce not only such measures, but also a broader plan that includes suggestions on how to enhance the on-field product, sources say.
-STARK EXPLAINS REASON FOR CLEMENS, BONDS AS GOOD AS YOU CAN
Stark: My Hall of Fame ballot (this year, it's personal)
The Bonds and Clemens Show
Why do I vote for Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens? It’s not that hard to follow.
The PED era happened. All of it. Somehow or other, the Hall of Fame needs to find a way to acknowledge that it happened.
I don’t know of anybody who is naïve enough to think we haven’t already elected multiple PED users to the Hall of Fame. So how can we have a Hall of Fame that slams the door on the hitter who mashed more home runs than anybody in history and on the pitcher who won more Cy Youngs than any pitcher who ever lived?
I’m not thrilled about the idea of electing players who “cheated.” I’d love to keep the “cheaters” out of the Hall. But how exactly could we do that? Hundreds of players used some sort of PED back in the day. Hundreds. It’s not as if baseball has ever furnished us a list.
Once testing was in place and guys got caught and suspended, that’s a whole different era. But evaluating anything and everything before that is just an elaborate, impossible guessing game – and one we’ve already messed up.
So my policy is simple. I vote for the greatest players of that era. I factor in a different set of standards for players in the post-testing era. I factor in the whole ballot-management mess I explained earlier. But for the best of the best – men like Bonds and Clemens? I feel like my job is to vote for them – and it’s the Hall of Fame’s job to decide how to explain what happened in their time if they ever get elected.
Maybe their induction day is coming. Maybe it isn’t. They’re both at 76 percent in the latest Tracker computations. They both have three elections remaining after this. So we’ll be having this conversation again next year this time.
All I know is, I quit my gig with the morality police force a long time ago. I had no shot of getting that assignment right. But who were the best player and pitcher of the ‘90s? I know I got that one right – and you can find the answers on my ballot every darned year.
GIANTS SOMETHING LIKE:
1. PANIK 2B
2. BELT 1B
3. POSEY C
4. SHAW LF
5. LONGORIA 3B
6. CRAWFORD SS
7. SLATER RF
8. DUGGAR CF
9. P
OTHER:
After weeks of rumors and silence, a couple of this year's Super Bowl performers are speaking out about their roles in the game and the controversy surrounding both the national anthem and the halftime show. https://abcn.ws/2Dj5jp7
-ESPN IN THE GREG HARDY BUSINESS -- WILL YOU WATCH MORE NOW THAT ITS ON ESPN?
ARE WE THIS LAZY?
Daily Mail Online (@MailOnline)
These self-lacing shoes which can be controlled by your smartphone are a game changer dailym.ai/2DbKtYE
Phil Steele (@philsteele042) | |
2019 PAC-12 Football Schedules. – Phil Steele philsteele.com/2019/01/16/201…
|
NO
New York Post (@nypost) | |
72-year-old grandma marries teen she met at her son's funeral nyp.st/2Fyu3LM pic.twitter.com/UuDAEfuHq5
|
D
Darren Rovell (@darrenrovell) | |
The @Bucks will debut the Coors Light Beer Button tonight on their app for fans in the arena. Here’s how it works... pic.twitter.com/SItMZ8IE9q
|
-WHAT'S UP CALIFORNIA?
Phil Steele (@philsteele042) | |
N.Y. Gov. Cuomo: 'Let's authorize sports betting' espn.com/chalk/story/_/…
|
TMZ Sports (@TMZ_Sports)
Michael Strahan to Clemson, I'll Pay for Real Lobster Dinner! trib.al/5nDnAc
PROPS:
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints Game Props
Will there be a combined 1000 or more offensive yards?
Yes +200 (2/1)
No -300 (1/3)
Note: There was a combined 970 yards in the regular season game between the Rams and Saints.
Will there be a combined 80 points scored in the game?
Yes +400 (4/1)
No -700 (1/7)
Note: There was a combined 80 points scored in the regular season game between the Rams and Saints.
Los Angeles Rams at New Orleans Saints Player Props
Touchdown Props
First Touchdown Scorer
Alvin Kamara 6/1
Todd Gurley 13/2
Michael Thomas 15/2
Mark Ingram 8/1
CJ Anderson 10/1
Brandin Cooks 10/1
Robert Woods 10/1
Ted Ginn 14/1
Josh Reynolds 14/1
Keith Kirkwood 20/1
Ben Watson 22/1
Los Angeles Defense 25/1
New Orleans Defense 25/1
Tayson Hill 25/1
TreQuan Smith 25/1
Gerald Everett 28/1
Tyler Higbee 28/1
Drew Brees 40/1
Josh Hill 40/1
Austin Carr 50/1
KhaDarel Hodge 50/1
Jared Goff 66/1
John Kelly 66/1
No Touchdown Scored 125/1
Passing Props
Total Passing Yards – Jared Goff (LAR)
Over/Under 285½
Total Touchdown Passes - Jared Goff (Los Angeles)
Over 2½ +175 (7/4)
Under 2½ -210 (10/21)
Total Interceptions Thrown - Jared Goff (Los Angeles)
Over ½ -145 (20/29)
Under ½ +125 (5/4)
Total Passing Yards – Drew Brees (New Orleans)
Over/Under 301½
Longest Completion – Drew Brees (New Orleans)
Over/Under 40½
Total Touchdown Passes - Drew Brees (New Orleans)
Over 2½ +125 (5/4)
Under 2½ -145 (20/29)
Total Interceptions Thrown - Drew Brees (New Orleans)
Over ½ +105 (21/20)
Under ½ -125 (4/5)
Receiving Props
Total Receiving Yards – Brandon Cooks (LAR)
Over/Under 70½
Total Receptions - Brandon Cooks (LAR)
Over/Under 4½
Total Receiving Yards – Robert Woods (LAR)
Over/Under 75½
Total Receptions - Robert Woods (LAR)
Over/Under 5½
Longest Reception - Robert Woods (LAR)
Over/Under 24½
Total Receiving Yards – Josh Reynolds (LAR)
Over/Under 43½
Total Receptions - Josh Reynolds (LAR)
Over/Under 3
Total Receiving Yards – Gerald Everett (LAR)
Over/Under 21½
Total Receptions – Gerald Everett (LAR)
Over/Under 2
Total Receiving Yards – Tyler Higbee (LAR)
Over/Under 18½
Total Receiving Yards – Todd Gurley (LAR)
Over/Under 34½
Total Receptions - Todd Gurley (LAR)
Over/Under 3½
Total Receiving Yards – Michael Thomas (New Orleans)
Over/Under 96½
Total Receptions - Michael Thomas (New Orleans)
Over/Under 7½
Longest Reception – Michael Thomas (New Orleans)
Over/Under 28½
Total Receiving Yards – Ted Ginn (New Orleans)
Over/Under 49½
Total Receptions - Ted Ginn (New Orleans)
Over/Under 3½
Total Receiving Yards – Ben Watson (New Orleans)
Over/Under 15½
Total Receiving Yards – Alvin Kamara (New Orleans)
Over/Under 40½
Total Receptions - Alvin Kamara (New Orleans)
Over/Under 4½
Total Receiving Yards – Mark Ingram (New Orleans)
Over/Under 10½
Rushing Props
Total Rushing Yards – Todd Gurley (LAR)
Over/Under 70½
Longest Rush - Todd Gurley (LAR)
Over/Under 20½
Total Rushing + Receiving Yards – CJ Anderson (LAR)
Over/Under 50½
Total Rushing Yards – Alvin Kamara (New Orleans)
Over/Under 61½
Longest Rush - Alvin Kamara (New Orleans)
Over/Under 16½
Total Rushing Yards – Mark Ingram (New Orleans)
Over/Under 41½
New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs Game Props
Will there be a combined 1000 or more offensive yards?
Yes +200 (2/1)
No -300 (1/3)
Note: There was a combined 946 yards in the regular season game between the Patriots and Chiefs
Will there be a combined 80 points scored in the game?
Yes +400 (4/1)
No -700 (1/7)
Note: There was a combined 83 points scored in the regular season game between the Patriots and Chiefs.
Highest Scoring Quarter
1st Quarter 9/2
2nd Quarter 7/4
3rd Quarter 9/2
4th Quarter 2/1
Time of First Score
Over/Under 6½ minutes
Total Touchdowns
Over/Under 6½
Longest Touchdown
Over/Under 50 yards
Longest Field Goal
Over/Under 46 yards
New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs Player Props
Touchdown Props
First Touchdown Scorer
Damien Williams 13/2
Travis Kelce 15/2
Sony Michel 15/2
Tyreek Hill 8/1
James White 9/1
Julian Edelman 10/1
Rob Gronkowski 14/1
Spencer Ware 14/1
Sammy Watkins 14/1
Chris Conley 18/1
Chris Hogan 18/1
Phillip Dorsett 20/1
Darrel Williams 20/1
Patrick Mahomes 22/1
Rex Burkhead 25/1
Demarcus Robinson 25/1
Cordarelle Patterson 33/1
Kansas City Defense 33/1
New England Defense 33/1
Demetrious Harris 40/1
Tom Brady 50/1
Dwayne Allen 66/1
Kelvin Benjamin 66/1
No Touchdown Scored 80/1
Passing Props
Total Passing Yards - Tom Brady (NE)
Over/Under 287½
Total Touchdown Passes - Tom Brady (NE)
Over 2½ +150 (3/2)
Under 2½ -170 (10/17)
Total Completions - Tom Brady (NE)
Over/Under 25½
Longest Completion – Tom Brady (NE)
Over/Under 40½
Total Interceptions Thrown - Tom Brady (NE)
Over ½ +110 (11/10)
Under ½ -130 (10/13)
Total Passing Yards – Patrick Mahomes (KC)
Over/Under 315½
Total Completions - Patrick Mahomes (KC)
Over/Under 25½
Longest Completion - Patrick Mahomes (KC)
Over/Under 42½
Total Touchdown Passes - Patrick Mahomes (KC)
Over 2½ +105 (21/20)
Under 2½ -125 (4/5)
Total Interceptions Thrown - Patrick Mahomes (KC)
Over ½ -125 (4/5)
Under ½ +105 (21/20)
Receiving Props
Total Receiving Yards – Julian Edelman (NE)
Over/Under 80½
Total Receptions - Julian Edelman (NE)
Over/Under 6½
Longest Reception - Julian Edelman (NE)
Over/Under 28½
Total Receiving Yards – Rob Gronkowski (NE)
Over/Under 47½
Total Receptions - Rob Gronkowski (NE)
Over/Under 3½
Total Receiving Yards – Chris Hogan (NE)
Over/Under 28½
Total Receptions - Chris Hogan (NE)
Over/Under 2½
Total Receiving Yards – Phillip Dorsett (NE)
Over/Under 28½
Total Receptions - Phillip Dorsett (NE)
Over/Under 2½
Total Receiving Yards - James White (NE)
Over/Under 47½
Total Receptions - James White (NE)
Over/Under 5½
Total Receiving Yards – Tyreek Hill (KC)
Over/Under 81½
Total Receptions - Tyreek Hill (KC)
Over/Under 5½
Longest Reception – Tyreek Hill (KC)
Over/Under 32½
Total Receiving Yards – Travis Kelce (KC)
Over/Under 80½
Total Receptions – Travis Kelce (KC)
Over/Under 6½
Total Receiving Yards – Sammy Watkins (KC)
Over/Under 57½
Total Receptions - Sammy Watkins (KC)
Over/Under 4½
Total Receiving Yards – Damien Williams (KC)
Over/Under 29½
Total Receptions - Damien Williams (KC)
Over/Under 4
Rushing Props
Total Rushing Yards – Sony Michel (NE)
Over/Under 79½
Total Rushing Attempts - Leonard Fournette (JAC)
Over/Under 20½
Longest Rush - Sony Michel (NE))
Over/Under 18½
Total Rushing and Receiving Yards – James White (NE)
Over/Under 27½
Total Rushing Yards - James White (NE)
Over/Under 17½
Total Rushing Yards – Damien Williams (KC)
Over/Under 64½
Total Rushing Attempts - Damien Williams (KC)
Over/Under 14½
Longest Rush - Damien Williams (KC)
Over/Under 17½
Total Rushing and Receiving Yards - James White (NE)
Over/Under 35½
Total Rushing Yards - Tom Brady (NE)
Over/Under 1½
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