Sunday, April 14, 2024

PAPA LUND AP[RIL 15 2024


-JACKIE ROBINSON DAY — 77 YEARS SINCE HE BROKE THE COLOR BARRIER 
-TAX DAY… 


TOPICS TO DRIVE: 

WARRIORS: 

HAVE TO WIN 2 ON ROAD—-16-4 OIN ROAD IN FINAL 20…. 25-12 TO FINISH SEASON OVERALL— 

-HOW FAR WILKL THETY GO — AT KINGS, WINNER OF PELICANS -LAKERS —OKC FIRST ROUND?? 
-HOW WOULD YOU DESCRIBE THE REGULAR SEASON? - FRUSTRATING, UP AND DOWN, ROAD VS HOME AGAIN BUT REVERSED…..
-KINGS PREVIEW—- REGULAR SEASON—- 
-HONESTLY - HT EBEST MATCH UP THEYT COULD HAVE RECEIVED…..


Kings in 1st play-in game
Lakers or Pelicans in 2nd play-in game
OKC first round
Mavs/Clippers in 2nd round
Denver in WCF
Celtics in Finals

DO YOU BELIEVE IN CONSPIRACY THEORIES? 


Two of these teams will not make the first round of the 2024 NBA Playoffs:

New Orleans Pelicans
Los Angeles Lakers
Sacramento Kings
Golden State Warriors



Play-In Tournament schedule

The 2024 SoFi NBA Play-In Tournament will take place April 16-19.

Eastern Conference 

  • 7/8 Game: Miami vs. Philadelphia; Wednesday, April 17 (4 ESPN)
  • 9/10 Game: Atlanta vs. Chicago; Wednesday, April 17 (6:30 ESPN)

Western Conference

  • 7/8 Game: L.A. Lakers vs. New Orleans, Tuesday, April 16 (4:30 )
  • 9/10 Game: Golden State vs. Sacramento, Tuesday, April 16 (7 TNT)

IF THEY GET IN PLAYOFFS: 


(1) Oklahoma City vs. No. 8 Seed*

Game 1: TBD vs. Oklahoma City; Sunday, April 21






GIANTS: 
-LOSE 2-3 TO RAYS—-
-FRIDAY: 
-SATURDAY: OFFESNIVE EXPLOSION…
-SUNDAY - SNELL STILL DOESNT HAVE IT (LOCATION) 
-BEST RECORD IN THE BAY BELONGS TO THE OAK/SAC/VEGAS A’S…..


49ERS: 
-AIYUK DOENST ASKED TO BE TRADED—-CANT WAIT FOR DRAFT TO BE OVER—- GTHEY ARE NOT TRADING HIM…..


A COMP FOR AIYUK— THE DEAL SHOULD BE EASY NOW….

 
 
NFL
⁦‪@NFL‬⁩
Eagles, WR DeVonta Smith agree on a 3-year, $75M contract extension that includes $51M guaranteed. (via ⁦‪@RapSheet‬⁩pic.twitter.com/INgTjOuYcZ
 
4/15/24, 7:34 AM
 
 



MORE FROM THE WEEKEND: 



GUESTS:

SOUND:









HARLAN ….






TOPICS: 


1- WARRIORS: 


A- BEST DRAW THEY COULD AHVE RECEIVED GIVEN THE SEASON—- CAN WIN IN SAC, CAN WIN IN LA OR NEW ORLEANS… AND GET OKC INSTEAD OF DENVER…. 


NBA Playoffs:

East:
1 Celtics vs. 8
2 Knicks vs. 7
3 Bucks vs. 6 Pacers
4 Cavaliers vs. 5 Magic

7 76ers vs. 8 Heat
9 Bulls vs. 10 Hawks

West:
1 Thunder vs. 8. (I think Pels) -Tho Pels better on road as are Warriors. 
2 Nuggets vs. 7. (I think Lakers) 
3 Wolves vs. 6 Suns
4 Clippers vs. 5 Mavericks

7 Pelicans vs. 8 Lakers
9 Kings vs. 10 Warriors



B- WARRIORS / KINGS PREVIEW: 

KINGS: 

LATELY: WARRIORS HAVE WON 10 OF 12, KINGS HAVE LOST 7 OF 11. 

-BEFORE PORTLAND WIN SUNDAY, HAD LOST 5/6 

-LAST 10: WARRIORS 8-2 / KINGS 4-6 

-The Warriors and Kings split four games but have not played since the Kings won 134-133 at Chase Center on Jan. 25.

The Kings will host because they won the tiebreaker by virtue of conference record.

-The Kings later eliminated the Warriors from the in-season tournament and won a late-January bout in San Francisco. Three of the four games between the Kings and Warriors were decided by one point, including one in which the Warriors choked away a 24-point lead.


Warriors vs. Kings 2023-24 regular season series

The Warriors and Kings split their season series, winning two games apiece. Their last three matchups were decided by one point each.

  • Oct. 27, 2023: Warriors 122, Kings 114
  • Nov. 1, 2023: Warriors 102, Kings 101
  • Nov. 28, 2023: Kings 124, Warriors 123 (In-Season Tournament game)
  • Jan. 25, 2024: Kings 134, Warriors 133
TWO GAMES IN SAC: WARRIORS 1-1 - 

WARRIORS: 

CURRY 35 PPG / 56% FG / 50% 3’S / 7 RPG / 5 APG 
WIGGINS: 20 PPG / 51.6% FG / 25% 3 (2-8)  / 7.5 RPG 
KLAY 19 PPG / 50% FG / 38.5% 3 PT / 
DRAYMOND 1 GAME PLAYED - 8 PTS. / 6 REB / 3 ASISSTS 2-4 3 PT 
*KUMONGA PLAYED IN BOTH GAMES ONLY 17.8 MPG / AVERAGEDX 6 PTS / 3 RPG.  / 


KINGS: 

FOX 34 PPG / 48% FG / 41.2% 3 PT / 6.5 RPG / 5.5 APG 
SABONIS 14 PTS 13 REB 8.5 APG —  ONLY 9-22 FROM THE FIELD / 10-12 FT LINE 
MURRAY 2ND LEADING SCORER - 16 PPG 37.5 FG. / 27.5 3 PT 
MONK (OUT?) 15 PPG ON 53% FG / 44% 3 PT 


MORE—

MARCUS PLAYS BOTH SIDES OF IT AND HE’S RIGHT—- IT LIKELY ENDS EARLY BUT….













HOLLINGER HAS WARRIORS WINNING IN SAC, LOSING VS. LA OR NEW ORLEANS—


I have the Warriors playing the Lakers here based on the picks above, and in that case I would lean toward picking Los Angeles despite the fact that the Warriors beat the Lakers three times. The games were close and the Lakers were missing Davis in the last one. The Lakers playing at home in a game of this magnitude should give them a slight edge. Also, I don’t feel great about projecting the Warriors to win twice on the road to knock the Lakers out of a playoff spot; it feels closer to a 50-50 proposition if we get Lakers-Warriors, but Los Angeles’ overall pathway to the postseason is more favorable since it gets two shots at it.

If it’s New Orleans, I like the Pels in either matchup. They won two of the three regular season matchups against Golden State, including a late-season contest in San Francisco that almost felt like a playoff game, and there’s a good reason to think they’d win again. The Pels have multiple active, harassing wing defenders to throw at Curry, and the Warriors are an old team that would be flying across the country on a short turnaround to play at New Orleans.

The Pels would be slight favorites against the Warriors, but they’d be massive ones against the Kings. Sacramento was smacked five times by the Pelicans, including defeats by 36 and 33 points, and seemingly have no matchup at all for Williamson. It was the first time a team lost a season series 5-0 since 1995-96 (we got a fifth matchup rather than the usual four due to the in-season tournament).



2- GIANTS: THE WEEKEND REVIEW




FRIDAY:  LOSS 2-1 


0-10 RISP, LEFT ON 9. 
-GINATS STOLE 3 BASES: LEE, LWJ AND FITAZGERALD. 
-WINN - 5 IP, 2 ER, 3 BB, 6 K, 89 PITCHES. 





SATURDAY:   WIN 11-2 


HRS: THAIRO (2), LAMONT WADE JR, SOLER (DEAD CF) AND CHAPMAN OFF A POSITION PLAYER. 
WEBB 1 RUN OVER 6, DROPS ERA TO 3.80, 96 PITHES. 

-STILL JUST 3-11 RISP, LEF TON 7. 


 
 
Jeff Young
⁦‪@BaseballJeff1‬⁩
Top #SFGiants performers in today's 11-2 win over the Rays 

LaMonte Wade Jr.: 2-3, HR, 2 RBI, 2 BB
Matt Chapman: 2-4, HR, RBI, BB
Thairo Estrada: 3-4, 2 HR, 3 RBI, BB
Patrick Bailey: 2-4, 2 2B, RBI
Logan Webb: 7 IP, 1 ER, 1 BB, 4 SO, 12 GO
Erik Miller: 1 IP, 0 ER, 0 BB, 2 SO
 
4/13/24, 3:40 PM
 
 



SUNDAY:   9-4 L 



-SNELL STINKS AGAIN - LOCATION AND SECONDARY PITCHES DONT HAVE THE BITE 
-1ST INNING 26 PITCHES, GAVE UP 3 RUN HR - DOWN 3-1 
-2-7 RISP 
-LEE GERNARATES A RUN IN 1ST W SB , SCORES 
-FITZGERALD 2 MORE HITS AND A RIDCLOUS UMP AIDED K 



NUKMBERS THROUGH 16: 
RISP - .228 (23) 
RUNS SCORED 4.31 (19) 
ERA 4.99 (26) 
STARTERS ERA 4.84 (24) 
RP ERA 5.23 (25) 




MARLINS TONIGHT WITH HARRISON: 


Giants SP Pitch Mix Changes (‘24->’23):
Webb: CH -5.5%, SI +0.4%, SW +5%, 4S 0%
Snell: 4S -3.3%, CH +6.9%, CB -1.1%, SL -2.4%
Hicks: SI -7.7%, SW +2.1%, SP +13.1%, 4S -4%, SL -3.5%
Harrison: 4S +6.5%, CH +10.8%, slurve -18.3%, SL +1%
Winn: SP -13.5%, 4S -4.1%, SI +5.2%, SL +12.4%

couple of notes:
1. Hicks is throwing his fastball way less and that volume has gone to the splitter. 
2. Harrison has nearly abandoned throwing a breaking ball, relying on 
FB+CH about 90% of the time.



MLB: 

THE BORAS 4 WITH JORDAN MONGOPMERY SCHEDULED TO PITCH THURSDAY IN SF….

Blake Snell: 7 IP, 10 ER in 2 starts
Cody Bellinger: .172 BA, .562 OPS in 67 PA
Matt Chapman: .200 BA, .626 OPS in 70 PA






CRAW IS BACK IN THE BAY — IN OAKLAND…






3- 49ERS—-


A- FEELING A DRAFT - 10 DAYS AWAY…..

MEL HAS ANOTHER MOCK—






B- WHY THE TRADE BRANDON OBSESSION…..


CONFLICTING REPORTS SHOT DOWN BY AIYUK’S AGENTY AND EVEN IF HE DID REQUEST, SO DID DEBO — 49ERS ARENT TYPICAL ….





-DEEBO DEMANED A TRADE
-DEEBO AND OTHERS TAKE STUFF OFF THEIR SOCIAL MEDIA ACCOUNTS….


DEVONTA SMITH GETS NEW DEAL: 


The Eagles did not release the contract's financials, but according to NFL Media, the extension is for three years, $75 million and $51 million guaranteed. The extension will pay Smith about $25 million per season. Smith will be an Eagle through at least the 2028 season, when A.J. Brown's contract expires.


SMITH: 25 - 3 SEASONS: 240 REC 3,178 YDS   19 TDS   80-1,059- 6
AIYUK: 25, 4 SEASONS: 269-3,931 - 25 TDS:   AVERAGE: 67-984 - 6


SMITH’S DEAL RANKS: 

GURANTEE 51M (2) - TYREEK HILL 52M 
OVERALL VALUE: 75M   (8) 
AAV:  25M (5) 

AJ BROWN AND SMITH TOGETHER  BOTH MAKE 25M A SEASON, 50M COMBINED AAV. 


DEEBO: 3-71.5M  / 41M GUR. — 23.6 M AAV…..

AIYUK IS LOOKING AT - 3-75M - 50M …. THATS THE DEAL… 



NFL:

BUCKNER GETS NEW DEAL WITH COLTS—-


 
 
Adam Schefter
⁦‪@AdamSchefter‬
More about the Colts and star defensive tackle DeForest Buckner agreeing Monday on a two-year, $46 million contract extension that ties him to Indianapolis through the 2026 season:

espn.com/nfl/story/_/id…
 
4/15/24, 5:30 AM
 
 


LAKEN TOMLINSON TO SEATTLE—

 
 
Brady Henderson
⁦‪@BradyHenderson‬⁩
It's a one-year deal for up to $4 million for Tomlinson, a source tells me. He's played almost exclusively at LG -- 99% of his career snaps have been there. So I'd imagine that's where he'll play.

On his ironman credentials: he's missed just nine snaps over the past five years.
 
4/12/24, 5:23 PM
 
 


MORE;


CABVOOSE:







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